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[00:00.000 --> 00:06.700]  I'm Dave Champion. Back on December 17th, 2019, I put out a video in which I said
[00:06.700 --> 00:15.300]  that the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic would be over on February 19th. Pretty precise,
[00:15.300 --> 00:20.660]  right? Okay, so that was a bit tongue-in-cheek, but it was based on the
[00:20.660 --> 00:23.820]  numbers that the government was putting out and the media was reporting. It was saying,
[00:23.820 --> 00:27.060]  you know, well there's so many millions of cases within this number of days and
[00:27.060 --> 00:30.300]  then I did the math and I extended that out to the logical conclusion that by
[00:30.300 --> 00:34.140]  February 19th, every man, woman, and child in the United States would have had
[00:34.140 --> 00:37.620]  SARS-CoV-2 if we were to take those numbers seriously. And then of course if
[00:37.620 --> 00:43.500]  everybody had SARS-CoV-2, had been infected with SARS-CoV-2, by February 19th
[00:43.500 --> 00:47.700]  everybody would have antibodies, everybody would be immune, and the whole damn thing
[00:47.700 --> 00:51.980]  would be over. So what's changed?
[00:57.900 --> 01:04.060]  In that original video I had used a constant trajectory of the government
[01:04.060 --> 01:08.500]  media's numbers to get to February 19th and of course the odds that we were
[01:08.500 --> 01:12.820]  going to have a constant trajectory, of course, is a bit why it was tongue-in-cheek
[01:12.820 --> 01:19.100]  because that's not going to happen, especially if we do hit natural herd
[01:19.100 --> 01:23.700]  immunity. Because what happens when you hit natural herd immunity? Yeah, well, well
[01:23.700 --> 01:27.420]  before a hundred percent of the people are infected, the cases turn and start
[01:27.420 --> 01:33.580]  going like this, as they may have just done. In that earlier video I laid out
[01:33.580 --> 01:38.860]  the exact formula for how many people are identified as having the infection
[01:38.860 --> 01:43.420]  and then what that telegraphs to us as far as how many people have actually
[01:43.420 --> 01:48.460]  been infected that we don't know about. Now, what is the number of people who've
[01:48.460 --> 01:52.740]  been infected beyond the one word that's been identified that we don't know about?
[01:52.900 --> 01:57.300]  Yeah, well, we don't know. So for the purpose of this video, I'm just going to
[01:57.300 --> 02:02.860]  call it for every one that's infected 10 more are unidentified infected. I think
[02:02.860 --> 02:05.620]  the number is much higher than that, but that I'm just going to use 10 to keep the
[02:05.620 --> 02:09.900]  math simple. So using that construct for this video, as I'm sitting here talking
[02:09.900 --> 02:18.500]  to you right now, in the United States there are 243 million Americans that
[02:18.500 --> 02:21.980]  have been at some point or are currently, that's one big number, right?
[02:21.980 --> 02:27.700]  243 million that have been infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Now, that happens
[02:27.700 --> 02:33.940]  to be 74% of the U.S. population. I've spoken before about the fact that
[02:33.940 --> 02:36.940]  although there's a lot of stuff in the news about it and Fauci's been moving
[02:36.940 --> 02:42.140]  numbers around like crazy because he's a liar, no one really knows what the exact
[02:42.340 --> 02:48.900]  number is, whether it's 60%, 70%, 80%, 83% of the population that needs to be
[02:48.900 --> 02:53.540]  infected to hit herd immunity. Biostatisticians and epidemiologists
[02:53.540 --> 02:58.940]  usually throw around the number of 70%, but here's the thing. With any given
[02:58.940 --> 03:02.580]  contagion, it's different for a bunch of reasons I'm not going to go into right
[03:02.580 --> 03:08.460]  now, but the most important thing is we don't actually know for any given
[03:08.460 --> 03:14.140]  contagion what that percentage is until after it occurs. So when you see all the
[03:14.140 --> 03:17.940]  stuff in the news about this percentage, that percentage, they don't know. The
[03:17.940 --> 03:23.820]  scientific reality is you don't know what the percentage is until after it
[03:23.820 --> 03:27.020]  occurs and then you can do the math and you can do the research and you can come
[03:27.020 --> 03:31.300]  pretty close to trying to fix that percentage. So why am I sharing this all
[03:31.300 --> 03:35.460]  with you today talking about that sort of tongue-in-cheek video back in December
[03:35.460 --> 03:38.620]  and telling you the things are a little bit different now? Well, they're not
[03:38.620 --> 03:41.780]  actually a little bit different. They're a lot different. You're not going to hear
[03:41.780 --> 03:45.140]  this from the media because the media only wants to pump the negative crap, the
[03:45.140 --> 03:52.380]  fear-mongering crap. Okay, so from September 12th through January 8th, we
[03:52.380 --> 03:57.820]  had an unrelenting increase in new daily infections in the United States. If you
[03:57.820 --> 04:00.780]  graphed it out with a solid line, there's always a little blips as you go up, right?
[04:00.780 --> 04:04.380]  But if you graph it out with a solid line, it was an unrelenting increase from
[04:04.380 --> 04:08.460]  September 12th to January 8th. But here's the thing you're not hearing from
[04:08.460 --> 04:16.580]  the media. From January 8th to January 19th, the United States experienced a
[04:16.580 --> 04:25.340]  – are you ready? – 38% decline in new daily infections. Now, I'm going to tell you, I
[04:25.340 --> 04:29.100]  think that portends that we have indeed hit herd immunity. We had the summer
[04:29.100 --> 04:31.700]  herd immunity. I've talked about that. We had the winter herd immunity. I've
[04:31.700 --> 04:34.820]  talked about that. That's why we have differing behavioral patterns because of
[04:34.820 --> 04:37.500]  what we're doing during those seasons and being outdoors versus being indoors.
[04:37.500 --> 04:42.460]  But each of them contributes to comprehensive herd immunity, which is we
[04:42.460 --> 04:47.580]  take the seasonal accomplishments of the virus getting into a community, and as it
[04:47.580 --> 04:49.900]  shifts and goes into another part of the community and another part of the
[04:49.900 --> 04:54.180]  community, we're building natural herd immunity. And I believe at 74% of the US
[04:54.180 --> 05:01.380]  population, we are there, which is why we've suddenly seen a 38% reduction in
[05:01.660 --> 05:06.900]  new daily infections from January 8th to January 19th. So, I share all that with
[05:06.900 --> 05:11.500]  you. Not only did I want to bring some great news to you, but that's screwing
[05:11.500 --> 05:17.940]  up my February 19th. The fact that there are fewer cases each day now is screwing
[05:17.940 --> 05:23.020]  up my February 19th date. God, how dare they? Oh my God, we might have to push
[05:23.020 --> 05:29.580]  that back to like March 1 or March 15. Okay, but the good news is 38% reduction
[05:29.580 --> 05:34.780]  from January 8th to January 19th, and probably this portends that the United
[05:34.780 --> 05:36.900]  States has hit comprehensive herd immunity.